With the Super Rugby Pacific finals fast approaching, the equation for the Brumbies has become remarkably clear: win, and they are all but in.
After a season filled with thrilling finishes, historic milestones and gritty performances, the Brumbies now sit firmly in control of their finals destiny heading into the final rounds of the regular season.
One more victory should effectively secure a finals berth. Two wins, however, could launch the Brumbies into genuine home final territory and potentially a top-four finish.
The road home is paved with opportunity for the Canberra side, with clashes remaining against the NSW Waratahs away from home before returning to face Moana Pasifika.
Currently sitting on 29 points, a win over the Waratahs would lift the Brumbies to at least 33 and place enormous pressure on the teams below them fighting for a finals spot. The Queensland Reds sit on 27 points, while the Highlanders, Waratahs, Fijian Drua and Western Force continue fighting to stay alive in the finals race.
But the Brumbies aren’t just chasing a spot in the finals; they are chasing the right to host one.
A top-four finish remains highly achievable. Sitting only a handful of points behind the teams above them, the Brumbies could realistically finish as high as third if results fall their way. Bonus points may prove crucial, particularly with the Blues and Crusaders still facing difficult closing schedules.
Should the Brumbies win both remaining matches and pocket bonus points, they could climb to 39 points. This would be enough to firmly place them among the competition’s top contenders.
But there is still danger if the results do not go their way.
Consecutive losses against the Waratahs and Moana Pasifika would leave the Brumbies vulnerable to being overtaken late by the pack beneath them.
After a season built on resilience, belief and edge-of-your-seat rugby, the Brumbies now have the opportunity to shape their own story.
One win likely seals finals football.
Two wins could transform the season into something far bigger.
Whether making the pilgrimage to Sydney or turning out for the final regular season clash at GIO Stadium, Brumbies fans will play a vital role in the run home. Secure your tickets now and be part of the finals push.